Author Profile

Meet Douglas Farmer, Our Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days believing about college football and his nights considering the NBA. His wagering practices and protection follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for numerous outlets from 2008 to 2024, most especially spending eight seasons as NBC Sports' beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his betting focus removed. Knowing there were seasoned beat authors with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas discovered his niche by finest recognizing Notre Dame's standing in each year's national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via wagering chances.
In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a function that eventually caused Douglas joining the business full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets every week, an out of proportion amount by means of BetRivers due to the fact that the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the remainder of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports' futures markets.
While Douglas is a devoted NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the most significant key to sports wagering: Know what you do not understand.
What makes Douglas Farmer an expert?
Douglas tends to hyper-fixate on singular topics, and college football leads that list. Spending more than a decade on the Notre Dame football beat provided a lot of time to study the sport as a whole, as have eight years in the 200-level of Target Center as a Minnesota Timberwolves' season-ticket holder.
Betting Analyst
January 2024 - Present
Douglas Farmer's Friday 40-Yarder
Publication
The Outcomes and Trends You Should and Shouldn't React To
Publication
Ohio State vs Notre Dame Predictions: 3 Reasons Why the Irish Will Win the CFP National Championshi
Publication
Timberwolves vs Lakers Predictions: 3 Reasons Minnesota Will Win the Series
Freelance Betting Analyst
September 2021 - January2024
NBCSports.com
Beat Writer, Editor
January 2017 - January 2024
Friday at 4: Farewell and remember, Notre Dame fans, this is supposed to be fun
Publication
Extra time, review and crowds produce an extremely 2020 upset as Notre Dame tops Clemson
Publication
Thirty Years of Notre Dame on NBC: Lightning strikes twice in South Florida's first visit
Publication
Douglas graduated from a small school in northern Indiana with a B.A. concentrated on a major derived from the University of Chicago's "Great Book Seminars." But as his program chair observed, Douglas's real major was journalism, rising to Editor-in-Chief of the school paper as he filled quite literally every role in the operation, one night offering ads to a regional bar while likewise substituting a missing cartoonist.
University of Notre Dame
- Bachelor of Arts (Liberal Studies)
5+ years in sports wagering
Douglas has actually been a trusted voice in the industry for more than 5 years.
17+ years in college football protection
Douglas has been covering college football given that 2008.
Deep understanding of all 136 NCAAF teams
Douglas prides himself on knowing college football completely, and is as concentrated on Delaware as he is on Ohio State.
Year-round attention to all sports
An editor at The Los Angeles Times once matched Douglas on his capability to hold a discussion on any sport, maybe except cricket.
How does Douglas keep up to date?
CFB-Graphs
The finest one-stop view of a college football group from an analytical point of view.
StatMuse
A natural language processing search engine created for sports statistics, there is no easier way to search for specific concerns.
Covers Picks
A thorough free choices page that always your own thoughts when examining a video game.
Q&A with Douglas
On the Notre Dame beat, I acknowledged there were better writers than me, there were better-sourced press reporters than me, and there were more experienced reporters with longer knowledge of the Irish than I had.
But there was no one who had a company and continuous deal with of the nationwide landscape in college football. Betting on the sport assisted me own that niche, always able to remember power scores to assist further discussions just tangentially related to Notre Dame.
Know what you do not know. Concentrate on that.
If you do not thoroughly know a sport, do not bet on it. Minimizing your losses is an excellent way to maximize your wins.
Always remain within your limits and never chase. Only wager what you can lose. And understand why you are wagering.
Is it for entertainment, is it an intellectual exercise, or is it to make money? If it is for entertainment, then bet enough to win a pint. That must suffice to gather your interest. My friends do not bet more than a bar tab, and keeping it within those margins is a terrific method to keep it a healthy hobby.
They forget why sports matter. It is not actually about a bankroll or about social media fans or about site traffic. Sports exist to bring people together.
They stop going to video games and just enjoying the company of those beside them. You do not require to bank on a video game to enjoy it. Be familiar with your neighbor. Help your dad view the game with his grandson. Experience the pleasure and competitive nature of the players.
Covers' complimentary choices page need to not be viewed as a pile of bets for you to make. If you utilize it rather as a spark to your own brainstorming, you might find it accelerates your individual handicapping procedure.
Douglas' areas of proficiency
Douglas concentrates on college football but invests a lot time watching basketball, he fills 8 months a year wagering hoops, too.
College Football
Douglas understands there can be as much worth in banking on Missouri State as there is banking on Alabama.
NBA betting
The lessens and flows of a long NBA season frequently present betting worth as teams go through their own highs and lulls.
WNBA wagering
The WNBA is gaining more attention, but is still not bet to saturation. Concentrating on summer season hoops yields more value than a lot of leagues.
March Madness
The massive attention focused on March Madness offers contrarian chances for a sharp wagerer.
Douglas's memories
Biggest Win
A "go back to living" trip to Vegas before the 2021 football season started by seeing worth on Georgia to win the championship game at +800. Already, mid-August, the consensus line was +650. So, I took my whole weekend's bankroll and put it on what I passionately referred to as "Clifford." The logic was, Georgia ought to make the Playoff and already, I'll be resting on excellent value to hedge out. Except, I never hedged out. I just contributed to the financial investment all season long, consisting of with live chances of +140. The joy was not in the win, however in the five months of vindicated conviction.
⛔ Worst Beat
This might seem unimportant, but it is the one that still intensifies me years later. There are few better bets in life than fading a Brian VanGorder defense. So when Bowling Green checked out Notre Dame in 2019, I relied on the Irish to run it up on their former protective planner, betting the Notre Dame team overall Over 54.5. I believe I am the only person in the world who clearly keeps in mind Javon McKinley dropping an open crossing route inside the 10-yard line, forcing the Irish to choose a field goal en route to a 52-0 win.
Douglas's Articles
Tennessee vs Michigan Prop Picks & Best Options: March Madness Elite 8
Iowa vs Illinois Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's March Madness Game
Pistons vs Timberwolves Prediction, Picks & Best Bets for Tonight's NBA Game
March Madness Predictions: Survivor Pool Picks for the Elite 8
Purdue vs Arizona Prop Picks & Best Bets Today: March Madness Elite 8
Jazz vs Nuggets Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's NBA Game
St. John's vs Duke Prop Picks & Best Options: March Madness Sweet 16
Illinois vs Houston Prediction, Picks & Best Bets for Tonight's March Madness Game
It's not simply Douglas doing the research
Phil Naessens
Prior to signing up with Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens invested 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu, Greece. Hes the previous host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and presently hosts the Crush and Rush Tennis Podcast. Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for many publications, including Advance Local, SB Nation, FanSided, and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. His preferred sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro mens and womens hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous wagering accounts in the US and Europe, and his finest recommendations is to line buy the finest value possible.